Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.008198 0.009615 0.011308 0.013515 0.016363 0.019983 0.025055
2025-09-14 0.006147 0.007740 0.009852 0.012958 0.017594 0.024601 0.036785
2025-09-21 0.005181 0.006834 0.009185 0.012953 0.019232 0.030170 0.053338
2025-09-28 0.004674 0.006406 0.009019 0.013533 0.021866 0.038580 0.082591
2025-10-05 0.004416 0.006271 0.009230 0.014736 0.026031 0.052534 0.144351
2025-10-12 0.004088 0.005964 0.009085 0.015245 0.029042 0.066297 0.237403
2025-10-19 0.003714 0.005522 0.008623 0.015013 0.030318 0.076635 0.353118
2025-10-26 0.003453 0.005231 0.008374 0.015143 0.032546 0.092381 0.594456
2025-11-02 0.003185 0.004894 0.007987 0.014880 0.033644 0.105594 0.957315
2025-11-09 0.002886 0.004472 0.007381 0.013998 0.032646 0.109274 1.276868
2025-11-16 0.002646 0.004133 0.006897 0.013311 0.032019 0.114571 1.806023
2025-11-23 0.002522 0.003991 0.006782 0.013482 0.034222 0.138345 4.312160
2025-11-30 0.002335 0.003732 0.006433 0.013089 0.034698 0.155767 10.916093
2025-12-07 0.002154 0.003473 0.006056 0.012564 0.034573 0.170665 35.540386
2025-12-14 0.002038 0.003323 0.005889 0.012559 0.036477 0.208426 4250.224337
2025-12-21 0.001976 0.003271 0.005925 0.013115 0.041111 0.294851 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001957 0.003300 0.006142 0.014266 0.049564 0.506577 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001895 0.003237 0.006138 0.014752 0.055359 0.772367 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001799 0.003093 0.005929 0.014531 0.057071 0.980501 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001729 0.003000 0.005830 0.014655 0.061181 1.438143 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001646 0.002873 0.005633 0.014404 0.062697 1.879574 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001541 0.002693 0.005288 0.013560 0.059466 1.867341 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001452 0.002542 0.005005 0.012902 0.057312 1.953910 NaN